Just my guess --with the wind as forecast between now and then --including the wind Saturday, the only fishable water if any will be on the northern end of things. Unless we get a stiff south breeze between now and when the big north winds hit late this week, the ice won't have room to move much--even with the north big wind. There has to be open water on the downwind side ( in this case the southern shores) for the wind to move the ice sheet any amount. I doubt the upwind side will be open enough to allow for big waves to build and pound the ice to pieces as of this weekend. The next two big wind switches after the coming weekend will take it out...as there will be enough play/open water after this weekend for the wind/waves to break it up.
Just my guess.......
-- Edited by Steve Fellegy on Tuesday 7th of May 2013 12:53:53 PM
It seems the shoreline ice, disconnected from the main sheet is what is mostly moving. These are small lighter chunks of ice. It will take a good blow in the teens mph., at least, to get the main sheet on the move. When that happens, the cams will show small piles of white ice along the downwind shoreline.
I expect it to take at least 2 if not more BIG wind switches to take the main ice sheet out...
The small lakes in the area are still covered in ice. Normally (which this might not be), it takes a week or so to get Lake Mille Lacs ice off after the small lakes are ice free.
My guess, and I could/hope I am wrong, it will be next Tuesday or Wednesday per the wind forecasts.
Warm temps help but this is the key to the ice out.